Following the failure of Bibi Netanyahu’s Iran-has-nukes PR gimmick, the Israelis are desperate for an incident to get their long awaited war with Hezbollah, Syria, and Iran going.
Haaretz reports that Israel officials “believe” Iran will retaliate after the IDF attacked them on April 9 in Syria. Close to a month has passed and the Iranians have not responded, obviously realizing the consequences.
“Israeli defense officials are bracing for the possibility of an Iranian revenge attack from Syria in the near future, in the form of rocket and missile launches at northern Israel,” the Israeli newspaper reports.
Israel has put out an “assessment” saying Hezbollah is preparing a “revenge attack from Syria in the near future” and will hit the Jewish state with its missiles.
“Israel’s assessment is that Iran seeks to settle its open account with Israel, but wants to do so without sparking a war. One possible solution to this dilemma is trying to fire a limited barrage at military targets in northern Israel.”
This assessment is likely pure fiction. Both Iran and Lebanon’s Hezbollah realize any such attack will result in the full-blown war Israel seeks and counts on dragging the United States into since Israel cannot defend itself.
The Trump administration, chock full of neocons—most notably uber warmonger John Bolton—will undoubtedly accommodate, although there are serious reservations at the Pentagon where people who have actually experienced war firsthand realize winning such a conflict is improbable.
On Saturday Trump’s legal eagle Rudy Giuliani told a gathering organized by the terrorist group MEK that America has “a president who is tough, who does not listen to the people who are naysayers, and a president who is as committed to regime change [in Iran] as we are.”
MEK certainly is committed to regime change. It has fought a long terrorist battle with Iran, killing civilians, government officials, bombing buildings, and even killing Americans during the reign of the Shah. It was on the international terror list until MEK-friendly Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had the group removed.
In regard to the nuclear agreement that Trump plans on kiboshing on Tuesday, Giuliani said: “With Secretary of State Pompeo now on his right hand and his national security advisor John Bolton… on his left side, what do you think is going to happen to that agreement, that nuclear agreement?”
Trump has said he wants to renegotiate the agreement, but Iran told him to forget it. Mohammad Javad Zarif, Iran’s foreign minister, posted a video to Twitter last week informing the world Iran will not “renegotiate or add onto” to the accord.
“On 11 occasions since, the U.N. nuclear watchdog has confirmed that Iran has implemented all of its obligations,” Zarif pointed out in American-accented English. “In contrast, the U.S. has consistently violated the agreement, especially by bullying others from doing business with Iran.”
“Let me make it absolutely clear once and for all: We will neither outsource our security nor will we renegotiate or add onto a deal we have already implemented in good faith.”
On Monday, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said the deal could very well live on without the Americans. He said if other signatories to the deal agree to live up to the agreement, Iran will not revive an effort to enrich uranium.
“If we can get what we want from a deal without America, then Iran will continue to remain committed to the deal,” Rouhani said. “What Iran wants is our interests to be guaranteed by non-American signatories. … Getting rid of America’s mischievous presence will be fine for Iran,” Rouhani said.
All of this will be problematic for Israel, especially if the other parties to the deal agree to stay on. It would love Iran to begin enriching uranium again, giving it an excuse to attack, followed by US attacks that wouldn’t be restricted to nuclear facilities, but would, as Israel has long wanted, take out the country’s civilian infrastructure—in other words, give Iran the full Iraq invasion treatment, thus reducing it, like Libya, to a failed state.
Israeli officials are now pushing the envelope. During an interview with Ynet on Monday, Israeli Energy Minister and Cabinet member Yuval Steinitz said allowing Iran to participate in defeating the US-Saudi jihadi serial killers in Syria will result in the assassination of Bashar al-Assad.
“If Syrian President Bashar Assad continues allowing the Iranians to operate out of Syria, it would be the end of him, the end of his regime,” Steinitz said.
“If Assad allows Iran to turn Syria into a forward operating base against us to attack us from Syrian soil, he should know that will spell his end,” he added, directly threatening the Syrian leader.
“Everyone should understand, however, that certain things are red lines for us. If anyone is interested in maintaining Assad’s survival, they should tell him to prevent missile and drone attacks on Israel.”
Despite numerous Israel provocations, repeatedly attacking Hezbollah and Iranian targets in Syria, al-Assad and the Iranians have yet to respond and are unlikely to do so, understanding this would result in an attack on Iran proper and Hezbollah in Lebanon.
That doesn’t rule out a false flag, which both the US and Israel are infamous for pulling off to get wars rolling.